Growth Over ROI: Why Effectiveness is Your New North Star 🚀 (2026)

In the ever-evolving landscape of advertising, where metrics and metrics are king, Stewart Gurney, Director of Strategy and Effectiveness at Nine, has boldly challenged the industry to shift its focus from efficiency to growth. His message is clear: the traditional North Star of Return on Investment (ROI) is leading brands astray, and it's time to embrace a new paradigm. In my opinion, Gurney's insights are a wake-up call for the advertising world, offering a fresh perspective on what truly drives success in the modern market. What makes this particularly fascinating is the idea that growth and effectiveness are not just buzzwords but essential strategies for businesses aiming to thrive in a competitive environment. From my perspective, the core of Gurney's argument lies in the inverse relationship between ROI and profit growth. While ROI may seem like a straightforward path to success, it often leads to under-optimisation, where brands prioritise cost-cutting over profit maximisation. This, in turn, results in an estimated $4 billion in lost potential profit. One thing that immediately stands out is the need for a holistic approach to advertising, where efficiency is not the sole driver of success. The Growth Project, an initiative by Nine, aims to prove the total contribution of TV to bottom-line results, challenging the industry to think beyond the traditional ROI framework. The first pillar of Gurney's strategy, Sales Growth, highlights the power of scale and saturation. He argues that by focusing on Total TV (TTV), brands can unlock significant revenue potential. The Revenue Driver analysis from Mutinex reveals that TTV is the second-highest contributor to media-driven revenue, generating 22% of all media-attributed sales, which is double the contribution of platforms like YouTube. This is a powerful insight, as it challenges the notion that digital channels are the only game in town. What many people don't realise is that TTV has the highest saturation point in the Australian market, allowing brands to invest more without seeing diminishing returns. This is a critical distinction, as it suggests that TV remains a powerful medium for driving sales and growth. The second pillar, Brand Growth, delves into the unique advantages of TV in building brand equity. Gurney emphasises the importance of content and context, two dynamics that set TV apart from other media channels. Viewing on a TV screen produces 60% higher ad recall than mobiles or tablets, largely due to the relaxed and receptive state of the viewer. This is a fascinating insight, as it highlights the psychological impact of TV advertising on consumers. The Power of Company is another intriguing aspect, as 40% of Australians watch free-to-air content with others, creating social resonance and memory structures that make audiences more likely to mimic an ad when watching with others. This raises a deeper question: how can brands leverage the social dynamics of TV to enhance their marketing efforts? The third pillar, Short-Term Growth, focuses on the immediate impact of TV on digital performance. Gurney highlights the role of TV in priming the performance pump, making the bottom of the funnel work harder. Data from Adgile confirms that 1 in 3 media-attributable actions (web visits or app interactions) are driven by TV, proving its immediate impact on the digital ecosystem. This is a surprising angle, as it challenges the notion that TV is solely a long-term play. In my opinion, Gurney's insights are a call to action for advertisers to rethink their strategies and embrace a more holistic approach to growth. By focusing on effectiveness, brands can unlock the true potential of TV and drive meaningful results. The Growth Project is not just a challenge to the industry but a roadmap for businesses aiming to thrive in a competitive market. If you take a step back and think about it, the implications of Gurney's message are far-reaching. It encourages advertisers to move beyond the limitations of ROI and embrace a more comprehensive view of effectiveness. This, in turn, can lead to a more sustainable and profitable business model. In conclusion, Stewart Gurney's challenge to the industry is a powerful reminder that growth and effectiveness are not just buzzwords but essential strategies for success. By embracing a new North Star, brands can unlock the true potential of TV and drive meaningful results. The Growth Project is a testament to the power of innovation and a call to action for advertisers to rethink their strategies and embrace a more holistic approach to growth. Personally, I think that the advertising industry is at a crossroads, and Gurney's insights offer a compelling path forward. The time has come to move beyond efficiency and embrace the power of effectiveness, where TV plays a pivotal role in driving growth and success.

Growth Over ROI: Why Effectiveness is Your New North Star 🚀 (2026)

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